Saturday, June 12, 2010

Modeling Football

The World Cup is a good excuse, not only for academics, but also for investment bankers, to predict who will win the World Cup

for example

UBS: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/features/market-lab/an-financial-take-on-predicting-the-world-cup/article1601348/

JP Morgan: http://www.news.com.au/business/jp-morgan-statistical-analysis-predicts-world-cup-winner/story-e6frfm1i-1225868977453

Morgan Stanley: http://www.world-cup-betting.me.uk/goldman-sachs-model-names-brazil-as-world-cup-2010-winners.html


also see for the full reports
http://kaggle.com/worldcup2010?viewtype=custom

The big question is: are they better at foreseeing football than foreseeing the economy?

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